Saturday, February 21, 2009

Tech Predictions for 2009

MICROSOFT
1. Executes another hostile take-over with Yahoo.  They finally merge their search business.
2. Microsoft will stop selling Zune hardware, solidifying Apple's dominance.
3. WinMobile will become even more outdated and un-cool.
4. Win7 will sell more copies in it's 1st year then Vista has sold to date.
5. Xbox becomes the frontier set-top box.

APPLE
1. The next version of the iPhone is released and is as hot as the original nano.
2. Apple TV will now support Aux-In and DVR capabilities.
3. Macbooks sales will continue to grow above the industry average because they are so hot.
4. The MobileMe team will celebrate as it gets its 12th customer.  
5. iPhone monthly sales will top all other US monthly phones sales...combined.

GOOGLE
1.  Gmail becomes the 2nd most popular email service.
2.  Gdrive is released, completely changing the OS and hard drive arena.
3.  gOS (Android) is released on PCs, adding another attack to Microsoft. 
4.  Chrome takes a chunk out of IE's and Firefox's market share.   Hopefully not the latter.

Netflix
1.  Will partner with cell phone and car companies.
2.  Will add post-1980's movies to their Watch Instantly catalog.

Blockbuster
1.  Will sit and do nothing regarding their outdated business model.
2.  Will try to sell customers more candy and posters to solve their financial problems.

+1
1. LiquidHD will forever change the way we watch tv.
2. Broadband speeds will double....hopefully.

2 comments:

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  2. MSFT #1-Yes. #2-Seems more likely that Zune will move beyond its own hardware and onto phones and 3rd party hardware. As a consumer I hope we are not only left with Apple as the only choice. #3 Sadly yes. #4-Probably. To date I have yet to horrible sales numbers for Vista.#5-Maybe. It has a hot/cold track record so far.

    AAPL #1 Many users and reports will claim greatness whether the release deserves it or not. #2 My guess is no - too complicated and not enough return in user value.#3 Agreed. #4 What is going on over there? This feature had/has so much potential. #5 Non-business: probably.

    GOOG #1 Yes, as it should be right now. #2 Probably. Though Live Mesh has already began the device agnostic cloud-storage transition. #3 Most definately. #4 Yes. Hopefully out of Windows Safari.

    Interesting predictions. Hope you don't mind me commenting on a lot of them. We'll have to compare predictions at the end of the year - though you would have to quantify a few of them if we were do to that - "is hot" is interpretive to say the least.

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